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    Home » Gold Price Forecast (XAU/USD): Building Up to Potential Breakout from Triangle Formation
    Gold

    Gold Price Forecast (XAU/USD): Building Up to Potential Breakout from Triangle Formation

    By HamzaAugust 28, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read

    Gold prices surged to $3,399 on Wednesday, nearing a critical resistance point at the top of a symmetrical triangle pattern. A successful breakout could signal the continuation of bullish momentum, with price targets extending well beyond the $3,500 record high.

    In This Article:

    • Gold: +0.17%

    Gold Advances Toward Key Resistance Zone

    Gold saw a steady climb on Wednesday, reaching a fresh 12-day high of $3,399. This upward momentum brings the metal closer to testing the top boundary of a developing symmetrical triangle formation. The rally not only surpassed Tuesday’s high of $3,394 but also indicates short-term strength and positioning for a potential breakout. The critical level now in focus is the recent swing high at $3,409, aligning with the resistance zone of the triangle. A daily close near these highs would further strengthen the bullish momentum.


    Symmetrical Triangle Structure Suggests Imminent Breakout

    Gold has been consolidating within the symmetrical triangle for several weeks, representing a pause in the broader upward trend. However, as the price approaches the apex of the triangle, a breakout is increasingly likely within the coming week. Given the proximity to the apex, the expectation leans toward an upside breakout, consistent with gold’s longer-term bullish trend. That said, short-term consolidations often occur near breakout points, meaning there may be temporary delays before any sustained advance.


    Potential Upside After Breakout

    If gold does break out to the upside, the immediate targets will include the $3,500 level, marking the previous record high, followed by a potential move toward $3,578. A decisive move above this area could reignite buying momentum, signaling the continuation of gold’s multi-month bull market. With the 20-Day moving average trending higher just below the price action, technical support remains in place for buyers as the price nears this pivotal resistance level.


    Risks of a Failed Breakout

    Despite the bullish setup, there is always the risk of a failed breakout. A rejection at resistance or a price retreat back within the triangle could potentially weaken market sentiment and delay any further gains. If gold fails to break through key resistance or dips back into the pattern, traders should watch for support levels at the lower boundary of the triangle and the recent swing low at $3,311. Any sustained close below these levels could undermine the bullish outlook and potentially postpone attempts to reach new record highs.


    Weekly Chart Confirms Bullish Trend

    A bullish reversal has already been confirmed on the weekly chart with the move above $3,379. If gold closes the week above this level, it would solidify the reversal signal on the higher timeframe. This would reinforce the likelihood of an upside breakout from the triangle and further strengthen the case for a longer-term continuation toward new highs. As such, the current technical picture strongly supports a potential move to higher levels if the breakout occurs.


    Conclusion

    The gold market is building strong momentum as it nears a key resistance zone. With the symmetrical triangle structure in play, the outlook for an upside breakout remains favorable, and a decisive move could lead to significant gains. Traders should be prepared for potential short-term volatility around the breakout point, but the longer-term trend continues to favor bullish positions. The upcoming price action around $3,409 and $3,500 will be crucial for determining the next direction for gold.

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